Taking a look at where the Pac-12 stands as far as the NCAA baseball tournament with two weeks to play:
Pac-12 Standings by Loss Column
Conference games only
|Ore. / USC||12||12|
|Cal / OSU / Stan. / UCLA||11||13|
Pac-12 Standings by Overall Record
RPI among West Teams
From the NCAA
|UC Santa Barbara||Big West||23|
|Cal St. Fullerton||Big West||40|
|Long Beach St.||Big West||47|
Wildcat Universe guesses:
The Big West is in the same predicament as the Pac-12 in that the host contender with the best RPI has a middling conference record and the contender with the best record has a middling RPI.
In the Pac-12, ASU has moved into the discussion to host a regional but, as you can see, the Sun Devils’ profile is very similar to Oregon State‘s but with a couple extra conference wins.
If the season ended today I’m going to put on Larry Scott‘s glasses and say Washington, Arizona, ASU and Oregon State all get in. But the Beavers are in grave danger. It’s amazing that two weeks ago this was a consensus top-15 team and now OSU is sweating the bubble. That’s what a poorly-timed 1-6 stretch will do to you.
I still think the west gets two regionals no matter what the RPI says. There will be too many western teams in the tournament to make them all travel to SEC country. I’m going to say, as of today, the committee would select Fullerton (first place Big West) and Washington (second place Pac-12) to host. UCSB, Arizona, ASU and even Oregon State could still play at home with a hot finish. The committee could also bypass one of the two big western leagues entirely and give a regional to Gonzaga who is 30-15 overall and alone in first in the West Coast Conference.
Last-place Wazzu just beat previously-first-place Washington and Utah continues to beat everybody so I’m not going to even attempt to predict winners in upcoming games. We will just let these silly teams do silly things and see how things look after the silliness settles next week.
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